Following last week’s two by-elections, even the most insanely optimistic Pollyannas on the Tory benches must realise that the coming general election will be an extinction event for the Conservative Party. Once swings of more than 20 per cent become common currency, electoral carnage sets in.
At present, ElectionMapsUK is forecasting an outcome at the next general election of 420 parliamentary seats for Labour, 33 for the Lib Dems and 156 for the Conservatives. However, it has also suggested that if the swing in Mid Bedfordshire were replicated at a general election nationwide, the result would be 480 seats for Labour, 104 for the Liberal Democrats and 20 for the Conservatives.
