A year today, this evening, the world will be watching and waiting for the result from America. Will US voters give us four more years of Joe Biden, a second round of Trump or something else entirely? We will, in the days and weeks that follow election 2024, find out what’s in store.

With 12 months to go, Biden is in trouble.

When he won in 2020 at the age of 76, he did so with an anti-Trump coalition of radical progressives and suburban centrists, while retaining over 90 per cent of the Democrat-loyal black vote. But as the clock runs down on the start of the primaries and with Biden’s already questionable mental acuity dwindling, those in each part of the anti-Trump coalition are trying to work out whether to strike down the President and find an alternative candidate.