Damned if you do – damned if you don’t. That’s the dilemma facing the Economic Community of West Africa States (ECOWAS) as it ponders a military intervention to overturn the coup in Niger.

Taking action could be catastrophic at many levels and spell the end of the 15-nation bloc. Doing nothing leaves another member state as a military dictatorship, weakens ECOWAS to the level of irrelevancy, and threatens to turn the entire region into a series of dictatorships backed by Russia.