Theresa May stays, for now. At around 9pm, Sir Graham Brady, chairman of the 1922 committee, announced that 200 Tory MPs had voted for Theresa May and 117 voted against, getting May the simply majority of 159 out of 317 votes she needed to carry on. That roughly chimes with estimates of how the votes would fall: 174 MPs had declared their intention to vote for Theresa May and 33 against. Around 100 MPs have voiced public opposition to the deal in the past couple of weeks.

Theresa May gave a statement outside Number 10, in really robotic style, perhaps betraying the fragility of her position: “We need to get on with the job,” she said. Nothing has changed…