First, it seems certain that the Russians will launch a major attack on the Ukraine. The Ukrainians’ resolve appears to be unbroken. But will they have all the kit that they need, and what about the West’s resolve? As for the Russians, will they be able to throw hundreds of thousands of troops into the meat-grinder apparently indefinitely or will some units turn on their officers and then set off to walk home?

Here at home, we await a lesser offensive. After the Budget, Sunak and his team will be setting out their message. Rishi Sunak has had a good week. He has no difficulty in sounding Prime Ministerial, but we do not yet know the answer to two vital and related questions. Has he enough time to turn round his Party’s fortunes and how solid is that large Labour lead? It is broad, certainly, but is it deep?